Does no stimulus deal help or hurt Democrats more or Republicans?

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As the Senate run-off in Georgia approaches, more people are turning their attention to this race for its importance related to a new stimulus package.

Although typically a runoff results in an outcome favorable to the party that lost the presidential election, this year is different from any other election due to the pandemic.

Some experts feel that the lack of stimulus package could increase the chances of a Democratic sweep.

“If the Democrats are smart, they’re going to try to make this a referendum on there not being a stimulus package,” said Micah Rasmussen, director of Rider University’s Rebovich Institute for New Jersey Politics.

“That’s going to be a really salient powerful issue in Georgia: If the Democrats get these two seats, you get a stimulus package and you’re going to get a check. If you don’t want to see another check, give McConnell the chance to do more of what he’s been doing.”

It’s pretty clear that stimulus checks are still an important and much needed benefit right now.

Approximately 70% of Pew Research Center respondents indicated that they wanted a stimulus bill passed by the current Congress while 11% said they wanted to wait until Joe Biden became president.

To some, it’s not clear that passing a stimulus bill will help one party over the other.

“I think getting a deal done helps both sides,” said Rep. Josh Gottheimer, D-5th Dist., co-chair of the Problem Solvers Caucus.

“Failing to get a deal done hurts both sides. It’s really critical for both sides to show that they can get a bill passed. Either side will be punished for appearing to be obstructionist.”

“It’s becoming more and more clear that a stimulus package is desperately needed,” said Ashley Koning, assistant research professor and director of Rutgers’ Eagleton Center for Public Interest Polling.

“It would see logical for both Democrats and Republicans to want to come to some kind of consensus on this.”

Some speculate that one major reason why Democrats lost 10 seats in the election was because they failed to get a stimulus package done.

So that would indicate a lack of a stimulus bill hurts Democrats more but there was also a theory that Republicans would fear a negative outcome if no stimulus deal was agreed to prior to the January runoff.

But based on the lack of progress and proactive discussions taking place, it doesn’t seem like Republicans are fearing that outcome enough to incentivize them to pass relief before the new year.

Therefore, unless something changes such as some pretty drastic polling results, I don’t think the fear of losing the January runoff will be enough to spark more checks before 2021.

It seems like the only true losers in a scenario where no deal is made are the American people.

H/T

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